• Mon. Dec 11th, 2023

Ammunition shortages in Ukraine – production, supply, & are Russia or the West running dry?


Apr 4, 2023

In Ukraine, perhaps no weapon has caused more losses, or decided more engagements than the artillery. With contested …


31 thoughts on “Ammunition shortages in Ukraine – production, supply, & are Russia or the West running dry?”
  1. A very happy New Years to all of you. It has been an incredible experience building this channel and having the privilege to see the incredible discussion this content has caused.

    I ran out of character limit for the source list this time, so I may update this pinned comment with more tomorrow – but I got most of the key stuff on there, enjoy reading ammunition budget documents if that's your thing.

  2. As an American, why would I reasonably care how Ukraine gets the necessary artillery ammunition. If the Czechs or the Polish make more artillery ammo than my country than so be it. I’d rather the Ukrainians get what they need than be the ones to do it.

  3. I really hope those damn cluster munitions stay where they are. There is a reason they are banned (or at least not used) by civilized nations. At some point this war will be over and the last thing we need then is mines everywhere.

  4. War is good business for arms producers. The longer this war drags on, the more money they will make. I am not suggesting they are deliberately trying to prolong the war (there are political reasons they may be able to influence but cannot dictate), but it certainly is good for their stock price. As stated in the video, there is a lot of artillery ammo out there and I am sure many nations would be willing to sell it, as well as other war material, to either side, if the price is right. Besides, if the war grinds down the Russian military in Ukraine, preventing Russia from invading other nations, it is "good" for NATO nations. As a result, a longer war that forces Russia to burn through stockpiles of ammo and tanks, the less likely Russia will be able to prosecute a war elsewhere, even if they ultimately win the war. As Russia loses more of their more advanced weapons (or expends them) in combat against less advanced (western) systems used by the Ukrainian military, the west can supply increasing more advanced systems to the Ukrainian army that will be far more effective against the increasingly less advanced replacements thrown into combat by the Russians. For example, more advanced western tanks will be facing increasing numbers of refurbished T-72s with less advanced optics and electronics as well as even older T-62s (will the Russians put T-54/55s into the meat grinder?). This will give the Ukrainians a distinct advantage even if they don't have overwhelming numbers of western tanks. Note – the Russians won't run out of artillery. Russian loses in artillery have not been anywhere near as severe as the loses in tanks and IFVs and APCs. However, they won't be able to use it as effectively as their stocks of ammo run low.

  5. When Russian troops began lining up on the Ukraine border *a year ago*, the U.S. and the other 29 NATO countries, should have begun, *that day*, to manufacture every sort of ammo round needed by Ukraine forces, non-stop to support the fighters. What happened? First rodeo? Don't understand the logistics of warfare? This is very telling. I thought our team was smarter than this. Ukraine could lose the war because we forgot to make ammo?? Folks, you make as much ammo as you possibly can from the get-go until you're sure there's enough!

  6. As you know, Ukraine has a military-industrial conglomerate. Several months ago they announced that they have put shell production on an industrial basis.

  7. 35:21 You know, as an American, I feel like it’s necessary to say that often, islands are considered unsinkable aircraft carriers. I think we should test that theory. Say… on Australia. Versus 155mm howitzers. How does that sound 🙂

  8. What totally cracks me up is always f'n foreigners like Brits, Canadians, or Aussies or whoever always talking about the United States and how we will fail/do good at this or that or the other. It's like how do you know? Are you in charge of that for the US govt? No. Your not. So shut the hell up and worry about your own damn countries.

  9. Correct me if im totally out in the woods but… As i see it 09:00 The main reason there is a misconception about ammunition shortages, especially from the West is 17:30 that when the military say "ammunition runs short" its a figure of speach that the ammunition on site in the front is being used up quickly. Its a command for the logistical chains to start production 27:2334:59 ..rather than its empty shelfs in the storages.

  10. Well, well, well… It is now Feb 6, 2023. MANY people are now saying Ukraine cannot win the war. Russia is pushing back Ukrainian forces everywhere. Ukraine is now conscripting 16 year olds because they cannot replace all the killed Ukrainian soldiers. Ukraine has been rocket-bombed for so many weeks that the power grid is in shambles. You have a lot of 'what-ifs'… Well, they didn't happen. You have a good BS line 'if the west only has the political will….'. It is more than that, and it ain't happening. Ukraine is willing to fight this to the bitter end, and that end is in sight. Russia has been on a war footing for too long. Poke the bear, and see what you will get, a huge can of whoop-ass. Russia will destroy Ukraine, because they will not tolerate belligerent forces on their border (would the US tolerate a Chinese military on the Mexico or Canadian border — no way). None of this needed to happen, and it appears that 'the west' made a huge miscalculation — and is now doubling-down on their poor judgement (no big surprise, just look at who is president). Hooray for the military industrial complex, they are making billions. But the poor Ukrainian people will soon cease to exist. SAD!

  11. what are the chances of US going rogue and starts colonializing the whole europe, and europe can't do anything about it since they expect to borrow weapons and ammunition from the US in dire need?

    yes i know its unlikely, just a random thought.

  12. With regards to cluster munitions, Russia has opened that Pandora's box meaning their use against Russian forces is legitimate and appropriate. My only objection would be to the post-war consequences of their use.

  13. 35:10 Pentagon heard your criticism:) NYTimes told USA will ramp up its 155mm production to 90.000+ a month within 2 years.

    "The Pentagon has declined to comment on the size of its reserves of 155-millimeter shells, but Mr. Bush said the planned increases in production would support Ukraine’s needs in real time and replenish the amount drawn down from existing stocks."

  14. a) even 60000 Shells for a front that long as in Ukraine seems a little bit low
    b) I can clearly imagine a Russian commander seeing a Ukrainian counteroffensive, telling himself "Uh-oooooh! SMASH IT!!" and then repeatedly smashing his head against a massive red button labelled "Exterminatus"

  15. I'm not sure why but the elephant in the room. Any weapons sent to Ukraine are fulfilling the purpose for which they were built! It doesn't matter if the Ukrainians use them against Russia instead of a NATO soldiers. The US doesn't need to retain weapons to defend against either Canada or Mexico! The numbers of Russians in Ukraine precludes them going on the offensive against any NATO members, Sweden, or Finland.
    Any NATO country not on the Frontline with Russia should absolutely take any aspirational stockpiles, should also be willing to take their stockpiles down to bear minimum. Combined with non-US production the limiting factor will be cash, dollars, Euros, gold, crypto whatever it takes to grease the wheels of power!

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